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How to expand the internal inflation of the enterprise. Methods and formulas for the growth of inflation, but why don't they deceive us? The shape of inflation for the hour of the cash flow of financial transactions

Data on the growth of prices in our country are collected by the Federal State Statistics Service (Rosstat) since 1992. The assessment tool is the index of living prices (ISC). Vіn vіmіryuіє vіdnoshnja varostі і fixed set of goods іn services іn the in-line period іn thіѕ varіst іn the base period. It is important that the comrades take the fate of the vibrants, bought by the population for a non-violent life.

Methodology The price watchdog process includes the following steps:

Selection of settlements, which organize guarding

Usyogo 271 population points(N.P.) Tobto. selection across a wide geographic area;

2-4 places on the subject of the Russian Federation;

Vіdіbrannyh n.p. maє buti st_yka nayavn_st comrades and services, scho to enter the base of the index. Rіdkіsnі, scho periodically blame the propositions not to be afraid;

The number of population of selected settlements may become no less than 35% of the population of the subject.

Selection of basic organizations of trade and services

Over 58 thousand, including middle, small and large enterprises. The injection of monopoly pricing has been reduced to a minimum;

Like at the center of the settlement, so on the outskirts;

Firm shops, saloons, boutiques and others. organizations with prices higher than the average, are included in the index in proportion to the turnover of trade. But remember that comrades and servants are insured for the mass survivor;

Prices are also registered at markets and fairs, at transfer shops and kiosks;

Not included are organizations, the price of which is higher than the average for the chosen category. (Exclusive salons, boutiques, mostly foreign brewers).

Vіdbіr goods/servants-representatives (Spozhivchiy cat)

Under the product-representative rozumієtsya sukupnіst brands, models too. the same kind of product, yakі can be combined one in one with insignificant features (details)

At the selection of the remaining prices enter over 500 names goods and services;

One for all subjects vibirka;

The calm cat does not look at each other more often than once at the river;

Enter goods and services of neobov'yazkovy coristuvannya (for example, passenger cars, jewelry items made of gold, delicatessen products, etc.);

New positions are included to the cat in the fall, if it often becomes not less than 0.1% of the total number of living people;

Spozhivchiy cat mentally pod_lyaєtsya on food products, non-food products and paid services to the population;

When vіdborі goods important є regularnіst presence at the sale;

The selection of goods of specific brands is carried out in proportion to the obligation to sell them at a different price quotation for a leather brand;

For leather goods (service) -representative can be registered at least 5 price quotes (sound register 5-10 quotes);

Vinyatok to become okremі vidi poslug on yakі mіsti diyut єdinі tariffs (electricity, services zv'yazku, municipal transport too).

Registration of prices and tariffs

Wholesale prices are not won (bears are boroshna, tsukru and іn.);

At different prices, induced in foreign currencies, pererakunok go either for the rate of the CPU, or for the rate of the organization that is implemented;

Selection of prices to be carried out by the fakhivtsy of the territorial authorities of state statistics;

Registration of changes in prices and tariffs is subject to change schomіsyatsya for the latest list of cats stubble from a fringed stake of goods and services. In this way, most data about inflation do not include a number of goods and services, and, in fact, the previous ones.

Rozrahunok of average prices (tariffs) for goods and services

At the same time, average prices for goods (services)-representatives are charged according to the formula geometric mean;

Yak at the sub'єktu of the Russian Federation, and at Rosії zagalom mid-spozhivcha cіn goods (service)-representative vyznaєtsya yak arithmetic mean vital. How can you win information about the number of people in other places and regions. In this manner, given for the prices of the same goods/services in densely populated areas, there is more weight in the index.

Molding system vag for rozrahunku іndex pozhivchih tsіn

The calm cat is formed on the support of the calm vitrates of the household states, obtained for the pouches of the vibrating fur;

The revision of the vag system is being reviewed carefully.

Warehouse for the latest price index

Below, a different transfer of groups of goods and services has been pointed out at the ISC.

Food products: meat products, fish products, oil and fat, milk and dairy products, siri, canned food, eggs, zukor, confectionery products, borosno, bread and bakery products, pasta and cereals, fruit and vegetable products, including potatoes, alcoholic beverages.

Non-food products: fabrics, towels, robes and whiteness, hutra and hutryan’s clothes, knitted clothes, panchishno-shkarpetkov’s clothes, woolen clothes, textiles and combined clothes, miyuch and supplies for cleaning, perfumery and cosmetic goods, haberdashery, tyutyunovy clothes, furniture, kilims and kilims wares, crockery, yearbook, electrical goods and other accessories, other goods, paper and white goods, bicycles and motorcycles, television and radio goods, personal computers, call calls, toys, budding materials, jewelry, cars, cars, copper products, copper products, copper products, copper products, copper products, goods, medicines.

Paid services: repair, tailoring clothes and services, repair and technical maintenance of transport facilities, repair and technical maintenance of utility equipment, repair of living quarters, services of transportation, services of passenger transport, services of communication, living and communal services, services of the supply of electricity services, services in the field of overseas tourism, medical services, services of a legal nature, services of banks, intermediary and other services.

Basic index of living prices

In order to filter seasonal fluctuations, drink shocks and propositions, due to administrative, subservient nature, to establish a basic index of living prices. Vіn rozrakhovuєtsya shlyakhovuєtsya vyklyuchennya nevnyh grupovіv/services from ІСЦ. For example, some of them have dairy products, vegetables, fruits, alcohol, petroleum products, transport, services of a call, services of ZhKG.

Dynamics of the index of living prices

Below is the current information about the ISC for skin cancer, beginning in early 2009. ISC in thoracic cutaneous cancer is equal to 100%.

As can be seen from the diagrams, the increase in the ISC in Russia is the lowest for the breast in 2016. - spring 2017 At this summer month, deflation is expected to be pronounced. During the period of warning of price reductions, six more years were fixed. The most significant price reduction (3 months) was expected in 2011. The decrease in ISC is due to cheaper fruit and vegetable products during the harvest period.

Below is presented the inflation dynamics from the beginning of the registration of prices in the table. Accumulated inflation since the beginning of 2017 until spring of the month, it is possible for the ISC to become 1.67%.

Summary

Methodology for the collection of calm prices and the cost of their change should be done in a collapsible way, which hoards a large number of comrades and services of mass saving. Vibіrka populated pointsіv and ranks rozrahunok serednіh cіn, vhodyachi z number of people and obligation to the goods chi services, allow you to let in the right ob'єktivny vimіr zagalnogo rіvnya cіn u kraїnі.

BCS Express

Sergiy Antonov

love statistics

But it’s important to believe: for example, gasoline for rivers has risen in price by 10%. We have figured out how to insure inflation, which adds up the increase in prices and what you can check to Rosstat.

What is inflation

If the population has more pennies on the shelves of the company, there are fewer goods on the shelves and warehouses, the sellers start to drink and raise prices. As a result, the pennies are known: for the same amount in a given hour, you can buy fewer goods. Global price increase - and inflation. In Russia, this show is in vvazha Rosstat. My statistics is called yoga the index of living prices.

In fact, at the same time, the country has two types of pennies: preparation - banknotes and coins; as well as unpreparedness, as if rebuking the banks of the state and banks. All pennies are spent in Russia's control of the Central Bank. If you think that the country will need more pennies, then the Central Bank will demand more preparations for the State Sign and, in parallel, lower the key rate - $100,000, for which country credits commercial banks.

Buvaє so that prices do not grow, but fall. This process is called deflation. But there is nothing good in deflation: the commodities are becoming invisible and the economy is improving. Finding the crisis that was experienced in the midst of deflation is the Great Depression in America of the Thirty Years. The ideal situation for economic growth in the country is low inflation of 1-2%.

Yak Rosstat vvazhayut inflation

For rozrahunku іnflyatsії statistics vikoristovuyut spozhivchiy koshik. About seven hundred goods and services enter the warehouse to the warehouse: from bread, cereals and vegetables to industrial equipment and cars. The statistics in all regions of the country are showing prices for goods and services in stores, at markets and without intermediary at pickers, and then we show the average for the country.

The warehouse of a calm cat of statistics is changing dramatically, more and more real vitrati of Russian families. In 2018, 37.5% of Russian vitrate fell on food products, 35.2% - on non-food products, 27.3% - on services. Use the middle of three categories of rozpodіlyayutsya vitrati on okremі commodities.

For example, according to statistics, 9.3% of vitrate falls on meat, 9.9% - on communal services, 1.5% - on lighting. To the warehouse of the cat included and large purchases: expensive, budmaterials, computers.

Pereglyadyvayut warehouse koshika that yogo structure to the fact that new goods are on the shelves, and yakіs rіsі rosіyani vintrachat more. For example, in 2006, roci gasoline borrowed 2% from the warehouse of a spare cat, and in 2018 it was 4%. And the prices for smartphones 12 years ago were not protected.


Crime of the Great Calm Cat Rosstat respectfully respects the change in the basic index of calamity prices. The price of the collection of 83 goods, the price of which is the least to fall due to the rapt changes in the economic situation of the season: for example, meat products, bakery products, public utilities, public transportation. Change the varsity of such a basic stale cat of statistics vicory for the rozrahunka of the current inflation.

Є і tretіy spozhivchiy koshik - z minimal set of goods, up to 33 food products. Change the price of the minimum recruitment of vicorist due to the cost of subsistence minimum.

What contributes to inflation

A number of factors are added to the growth of prices, including the situation on the world markets and the domestic policy of the state. Axis deyaki cause of inflation.

Weather- the filthy fate of the agrarians is to take a small harvest, and, as a result, the variety of products in growth.

Great Viysk windows- all the pennies go to the military factories, and enterprises that produce civilian products, reduce the pressure.

Development of infrastructure- Between the two regions, they built the road, competition increased, and the companies, accommodating new minds, lower prices.

Currency exchange rates- through ce zrostayut tsіni vrobnikіv, yakі buy syrovina that obladnannya behind the cordon. Sirovina dorozhchaє - increase the sobіvartіst and kіnceva cіn goods.

tariffs- the cost of more goods has been pledged for the cost of air transportation, payments for heat and electricity. I salaries, and energy, sound, monopolies. As soon as they raise tariffs, it’s immediately indicated on the prices of mayzhe for all goods.

Economic forecasts- have the Central Bank win the special term "inflationary adjustment". І tsі ochіkuvannya can prikoryuvat chi sovіlnyuvat Іnflyatsіyu.

For example, as an expert to declare on the main channel of the country that a sharp increase in prices is possible, then peeping eyes will flow from the store to buy up goods for melancholy. On the aphids of the feverish drink, prices are growing. If the pickers check the high inflation, the stench will start zazdalegіd increase the variety of their goods. The result itself has an increase in prices to cause an increase.

The power regulates inflation, surrounding the amount of pennies of the economy. Tsim is taken over by the Central Bank. Yogo main instrument is the key rate. If the Central Bank lowers the key rate, banks can give loans to people who accept low income, even if they themselves cost cheaply. At the same time, the rates for deposits are falling - getting deposits from the citizens becomes invisible, even easier to borrow from the state.

The result is a lot of pennies in the economy: everyone takes cheap loans, actively spends the accumulated money, so there is no reason to put it on deposits. Growth will drink, and prices will follow. Inflation is on the rise.

In order to reduce inflation, the Central Bank is now raising the key rate. Some banks borrow not in the state, but in the population, increasing the rates for deposits. People stop stained glass and start picking up. Vіdsotki for loans zrostayut. The pennies in the economy are less, inflation is decreasing.

Why does it matter that Rosstat is wrong

An average stunner, a portrait of what Rosstat paints, picking up a grocery cat, is an abstract character. The skin Russian sim has its own unique cat, which is not statistically similar. For example, other people spend most of their income on food, while food products occupy only 37.5% of the official cat.

In addition, the indicator of inflation is observed in different regions. For example, in the fall of 2018, prices in the Bryansk region, following the tribute to Rosstat, increased by 0.9%, while in the Yamalo-Nenets region, on the other hand, they decreased by 0.2%. Over the edge, the quality of a grocery bag increased by 0.5%. But it’s impossible not to take the global Russian inflation to the point of respect: the powers are important to understand what is in the economy as a whole and how to regulate prices in the country.

The VTsVGD survey shows that the remaining 14 years, more than half of Russians are aware that inflation is already high in the country. For example, in the spring of 2018, for the tribute to the Central Bank, the majority of the population thought that inflation in Russia would become 9.2%. For official information, this indicator became 2.35%. At the Central Bank vvazhayut, scho so vіdbuvaєtsya through those scho we called to live in the country with high inflation.

Who else cares about inflation in Russia

Crime Federal State Statistics Service, changing the prices at the vіtchiznyanyh shops vvazhayut still more organizations.

X5 Retail Group Together with Rosstat, the insurance index “P'yatirochki” is calculated, depending on the prices for goods of their trade. Company vіdstezhuє cіni less on 33 products, which are included in the minimum set of Rosstat. Index "P'yatirochki" practically zbіgaєtsya with official inflation.

, inflation- Head enemy of your capital. Seemingly simpler, the value of pennies. So if, mentally seeming, today you can buy less goods for tі samі groshі, which you could buy vchora. Stars are taken іnfljatsіya and yak vinikaє, tse food is not so practical.

We often feel in the news that for the river inflation became the insole of the vіdsotkіv. Really, these are smart numbers. But not to the one who is flawed by Rosstat, but to the one who has a skin person, a skin family has its own power inflation. Before that, when inflation is surviving, there are methodological problems.

The most expanded by the method of inflation is the inflation index. The ISC is based on the rise of a calm cat. Cats include food, clothing, electricity, housing and transportation costs, medical services, and repairs and lighting.

The only way to reduce inflation is the GDP deflator. On the vіdmіnu vіd ІСЦ, the deflator includes not only the spozhivchiy koshik, but also the endemic comrades and services, which are included before the GDP. At the time of the ICC, imported goods are covered, and at the end of the day, the deflator’s repayment is less likely to be caused by Russia. The deflator includes the change in prices for new goods and services, but the ISC does not.

The calm cat is the standard set. However, in a skin person, that is their own set of services and products, which is more or less similar to the standard one. Otzhe, and your real inflation will be taken into account as official.

Those who spend the most money on your inflation have the most money. Yakshto the greater part of the cost of making goods, those for special inflation have the greatest contribution to the growth of prices for goods. As a person - a professional athlete and most of the time it becomes more expensive to eat sports food, supplements, vitamins, then for this inflation the most significant change in prices for goods.

How to unravel real inflation?

Inflation should be paid for the river, but you can also pay for the month and for the quarter. For whom you need a call about spending a long time (two quarters, two months). Pay attention to your regular visits. One-time vitrati, for example, a car, it is not necessary to buy it (as you obviously don’t buy a car).

Now you take the sum of the six-monthly vitrats in the rest of the month and divide by the sum of the vitrats in the first month of the year. From otrimanoї raznitsi vіdnіmaє 1 i multiply by 100%. For example, stained at the chest 20300, stained at the chest 21100. Important:

21100/20300 -1*100% = 3.94% Inflation added up 3.94%.

Tsya formula vrakhovuє not only increase in prices. In order to fend off pure special inflation, the sane cat is not guilty of changing. Ale specialty spozhivchiy koshik changes with the hour. For example, earlier a person bathed one product, then switched to other, more beautiful and more expensive. Otherwise, a child appeared at the sim's, and the widows got bigger. So special inflation is to lay down more money because the people themselves start stained more, buy goods more expensively, or at a great number.

Special inflation can be negative, for example, because you didn’t follow your windfalls before, and then they started to optimize and change them.

Now let's think, why is inflation so evil? The process of reverse inflation is deflation. So prices do not increase, but decrease. How cool, sing-song, you think. We don't call it that.

Deflation is on the rise, if official inflation falls below 0%. Sound deflation is coming after a sharp fall of the sukupny drink. Drink so fall that the proposition begins to change drink. To sell the goods, the sellers will lower the prices. Prote, don't be quick to buy expensive goods, even though it occurred to me that in a certain hour the price for them will decrease, and later they will be able to buy more goods for a sum of pennies.

As a result, people began to buy less, companies have reduced profits, whoever knows the bankruptcies. In order to survive for such minds, the companies should confuse their employees, change the investment and reduce wages. So, at your own hand, to bring down the drink to an even greater decrease and everything starts anew. Vinicating a deflationary spiral.

As you can see, for the economy, lowering prices is not safe, lowering their growth. Inflation spriyaє spozhivannu, zmushuє kupuvavat comrades and earn pennies, scho to increase the economy to the growth of the economy.

For an investor, inflation is not safe because it changes the purchasing power of this capital, and the real income from it. Therefore, the investor can find ways to invest capital in such a way that the growth of this capital outweighs inflation.

Inflation brings more respect to the Daedals. Moreover, not only the economists are on the side, but the great people. What is it like, how does she get settled and what can I bring? Peculiarities of inflation rates in Russia are in the same table for 26 years.

Zgіdno z ekonomichnimi vyznachennyami, іnflyatsіya - tse zagalne zrostannya tsіn for comrades and services in the middle of the country, the building is spent three times a day. With skin fate for the obvious increase in the pace of inflation for the same amount of pennies, you can buy less and less goods. For example, 1000 rubles in 2007 are converted to approximately 418 rubles in 2017.

See inflation

In this economic phenomenon, according to modern classifications, sprats of various species:

  • drink inflation. He will drink for the proposition, which allows the picker to raise prices for “rare” goods;
  • inflation vitrate(Propositions). There are more vitraty of virobnitstv, through which the virobnik raises the variability of products.

Іsnuyet and іnshі vidi іnfljatsії, yakі can be considered as follows:

  • unbalanced. The price for different goods does not change according to the one-to-one payment - the prices increase again for everything approximately at the same pace;
  • unbalanced. One or more categories of goods can be rіzko zletіti in cіnі schodo іnshih, yakі darochayut more povіlnіshe;
  • predicted. For additional analysis of the market, it is possible to expand the world, depending on the assessment of the behavior of economic entities. Often the budget of the country is rocked by the same price of inflation;
  • unpredictable. Rapto increase in prices, as if nothing changed in an instant - no analysts, no population, as a result, it appears more predicted;

Okremo varto see the improvement of the spontaneity, the buildings create piece inflation. As a rule, she is provoking a bit about those who will not be able to find a commodity that will become scarce or will rise in price sharply.

So it was with buckwheat groats in 2014, if you let out a little bit, then in the Altai Territory there was a harvest of buckwheat. The post-employees pulled back prices, followed by retailers. And the population rushed to buy buckwheat, remembering the 80s and 90s, which as a result led to a shortage and, naturally, an increase in vartosti.

There are three main types for swedishness:

  • pomіrna, but sang. Prices increase, but even more often - up to 10% per river;
  • galloping. Reimbursement of pennies is due for a 20 to 200% cash advance;
  • hyperinflation. The most terrible sight for the state. Pennies znetsiyuyutsya іz majestic shvidkіstyu - over 200% on the river.

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Under what circumstances, inflation can be reduced or reduced. For the first time, it won’t pass, it’s unfathomable for prices. That is why the increase in wages and prices is streamed by the power (like Bulo in the SRSR), but for the obvious pennies and fixed wages of goods, there is simply nothing to buy. Blame the shortage of products. There is no such thing for the current inflation - prices regulate the market itself.

Okremo also stand like this two vidi:

  • imported inflation. To go out at that moment, if one comes to the country with a lot of foreign currency (for example, the dollar), at the expense of increased prices for goods that are imported from behind the cordon;
  • exported inflation. Coming from other powers through international economic influxes and “infecting” the economy of the country.

It is also possible to see stagflation, as it is seen in the one-hour increase in prices for goods and the decrease in the rate of change.

Peculiarities of inflation in Russia

For the skin edge, inflation may be specific. I Russia - no blame. The majestic influx of the SRSR from the yogo planned-rozpodіlnoy system gospodaryuvannya driving balance on the market and in the people's state. The results are considered and dosі.

Just since 1991, the order has become step by step to transfer the economy from the planned economy to the market economy and to try to introduce the power of the power of the state of war. Obviously, it couldn’t have happened at once. The legal basis was rejected to the fullest.

As a result, the liberalization of prices, which started in 1992, led not to the establishment of market parity to the edge, but to hyperinflation through the marriage of virobnichoy tightness, mass monopoly of virobnitstva and, as a result, the presence of competition. Hyperinflation led to stagflation, which further aggravated the crisis. And roaring the calls from the lands of the colossal SRSR called for a further ruination of the state. As a result, officials raised the country's inflation rate to a sharp increase. Later, the liberalization of currency legislation did not help, but rather aggravated the situation.

It can be boldly said that the main reason for inflation is not the acquisition of pennies in turnover, but the monopolization of the Ukrainian market and, as a result, a sharp increase in prices through intermediaries.

It is noteworthy that one of the peculiarities of inflation in Russia at that time was the pegging of the ruble to the dollar at the established exchange rate, only for subbags of trading on the Moscow Interbank Stock Exchange. If it was possible, all the currency was sold on the interbank market.

1995 was characterized by a series of attempts to take a lot of control over the proposition of pennies of the economy. Alece did not lead to anything, the Crimean crisis of 1998 rock. Before 1999, half of the gross national product shrunk in the country.

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After 1998, the Central Bank of the Russian Federation thought about conducting an anti-inflationary policy and promoting financial stability in the country. The active participation of the national regulator in the economy of the people's state, as well as foreign opinions on the real financial situation, could reverse the situation. I step-by-step economy and financial sector, regardless of the crisis, are inspired and develop dosi.

But with all the varto memory, scho today Rosstat "for the old memory" tries to underestimate the official indicators of inflation in their charts.

For example, for the tribute to Rosstat, in sichni 2017, official inflation accounted for a total of 0.6%. And the doslidnytsky holding "Romir" gained 3.2% for the deflator formula. In the middle, in the opinion of the independent analyst Dmitry Adamidov, the official inflation is lower than the real one by a third.

What can be inflation for the growth of the economy of the country

According to the results, carried out by A. Ilarionov, high inflation negatively affects the growth of the economy of the country. The more prices grow, the more the economy develops. Mind you that the cost of factors does not add up to the price.

At the beginning of the analysis, it was noted that in 1976-1996 the average inflation was critical, which led to a grain of economic growth and, after the economic recession - 25-49%. At that very hour, the maximum rate of economic growth for this period was predicted at a rate of inflation of 1.1-4.7%.

It is possible to grow visnovok, so we have a lower rate of growth of prices - this is the shortest economic camp of the state.

Through what causes inflation

In a nutshell, these are the reasons, through which we can blame the growth of inflation, like this:

  1. Nadmirna groshova emisiya - increase the amount of pennies to bring to the current value;
  2. Lack of pennies from the state budget - redistribution of money over income;
  3. Zrostannya vitrati on viysk consumption before the militarization of the economy;
  4. Insufficient and advanced development of the economy of the country;
  5. Monopoly pricing for goods and services from the state;
  6. Clarifying the increase in prices by the hulks, what to bring to the delivery of more goods, lower consumption, and what the result is to increase the prices through the promotion of drink;
  7. Reciprocal inflation for imports - an increase in the price of exported and imported goods.

Obviously, skin causes do not lead to catastrophic consequences. Ale sukupnіst navit kіlkoh їh zdatna viklikati zbіlshennya tempi zrostannya іnfljatsiї.

Inflation in Russia behind the rocks: 1991-2017

In Russia, after the collapse of the Radyansk Union, hyperinflation almost immediately began. Now, no one is in control and is not ready until the next market, having appeared on our own. And yet, the apparent shortage of goods, that lack of virobnicheskih opportunities for results, led to a catastrophic increase in prices. In 1991 won became 160.4% for pіdbags roku.

Inflation is the process of increasing prices for goods and services by the hour. For vyznachennya equal vikoristovuetsya inflation index.

The concept of inflation. History of appearance

Inflation, like a phenomenon in the financial system, was in the home of an ancient world. Prote at that hour, she looked up at that hour, as if we were afraid of today. For example, the inflation was vyklikana nadmirnym karbuvannyam coins or vikoristannym їх prepared midi zamіst expensive metals. Such a process, I will always call “coin withdrawal”. Before the speech, historians should know far away to know the data about the value of the penny unit of Ancient Rome sisterhood.

Right up to the middle of the last century, inflation was accepted by the population as spontaneously famously. And only after the introduction of the ubiquitous statistical appearance of the activity of the subjects of government in the United States, Japan, and rich Western European powers, there was a streak of inflation. Whose rights to the power of the virobniks were infringed. In addition, come to live not a small negative impact on the competitiveness of goods and services on the domestic markets. Next, apart from statistical control, a great role was played by the creation of a system of price regulators.

Inflation in the SRSR

Radyansk Union of inflation buv. Crime of the so-called "deficit". On the right, in the fact that such an organization was founded in the SRSR, like the Sovereign Committee of Prices for the Radiation of the Ministers of the SRSR. Yoga functions included the regulation of mutual relations between virobniks and companions. Vіdbuvalosya tslyahom control of vitrates on the production of the possessed surplus.

The scientific and advanced institute of planning and normatives under the State Plan of the SRSR (NDIPN) took up this standardization. Yogo's manager included the rozrobka of the norms of surplus, yaki would be scientifically grounded. In addition, the institute has worked on the implementation of the norms of the industrial situation, as well as other types of various institutions, with an eye to their regional, Galuzev and technological features.

Inflation forecast

In order to predict with high accuracy the future activity of business, it is necessary to evaluate both internal resources, and additional officials, if they lie in the organization. The number of factors is due to the peculiarities of the ovine medium, but at the same time, it should be added to the results of the activity of the skin vibrator. Inflation must lie before such parameters, as it is possible to predict the growth rate of inflation using an additional formula.

As a source of macroeconomic information, the authorities of the state administration act, to carry out an analysis and forecasts of the economic and financial situation. In addition, they should monitor the trends in the exchange rate of the national currency, the increase in prices, as well as the assessment of the structure of the rank of goods and services not only in the country, but also in the whole world. In the process of forecasting financial and economic development of business, it is necessary to protect inflationary changes. The stench is signifi- cantly added to the rich side of the activity of the organization.

Inflation index

One of the main indicators of the value of pennies is the inflation index. The formula, for which vins are repaid, helps to signify a significant increase in the number of comrades and services at the singing interval. Vіn vyznaєєtsya for additional folding of the base price equalization on the cob of the starry period (accepted equal units) and the rate of inflation for the analysis interval. The inflation formula looks like this: II t \u003d 1 + TI t, de

ТІ t - Average rate of inflation. This pokaznik characterizes a significant increase in the price level by a given hourly period and manifests itself in hundreds of hours. At its own pace, this indicator is calculated according to the formula for the rate of inflation: Т = (1+ТІ m) 12 -1, de

ТІ m - the average indicator of the monthly inflation, mind you, it will be a equal stretch of the earth's fate.

When planning the river budget of the enterprise, the following indications should be paid:

1) inflation, which changes over time. Here it is necessary to take into account the fact that the dynamics of inflation in the most part does not coincide with fluctuations in exchange rates;

2) the possibility of including a few penny units to the budget;

3) heterogeneity of inflation. In other words, different types of goods, services, resources, prices change differently and the pace of their growth can vary;

4) regulation by the power of vartosti okremih groups of goods and services.

The shape of inflation for the hour of the cash flow of financial transactions

In the event of the need to pay the necessary amount to the income of financial operations, it is necessary to insure the inflation official. With the help of all the tools that win over the bills, you can secure the so-called "inflationary bonus", as well as the high level of nominal income. The presence of inflation in this formula allows the company to secure compensation for inflationary expenses, and to get rid of the necessary net income.

Calculation of "inflation premium"

For the repayment of the necessary increase in the inflationary premium, the following formula is applied:

Pi \u003d P x TI,

de Pi - total inflationary premium for a specific period, hour,

P - cob potty penny masi,

ТІ - the rate of inflation for the analysis of the hourly interval at the decimal fraction.

The formula for the shape of inflation for the total required income level for financial transactions may look like this: Dn = Dr + P,

de Dn - the total nominal obligation of the financial transaction necessary for income. With this, the inflation factor is compensated for the time interval, which is considered.

Dr - the real amount of the necessary income from the financial operation in the given hour. This pokaznik is repaid for the help of simple folded widows. In the process of calculation, the real rate is real.

Pі - inflationary premium for the analysis of the period.

Calculation of the necessary income

For the calculation of the necessary indicator of profitability in financial transactions with the adjustment of the inflation rate, the formula is as follows:

UDn \u003d (Dn / Dr) - 1.

Here UDN Je neobhіdnim stage pributkovostі od zdіysnennya fіnansovih operatsіy of urahuvannyam іnflyatsії in viglyadі Desyatkova fractions Dn - zagalny nomіnalny obsyag neobhіdnogo income fіnansovoї operatsії in analіzovany promіzhok hour, Dr. - real scrip neobhіdnogo income od zdіysnennya fіnansovoї operatsії to set the time іntervalі.

Coverage of the inflation factor for additional foreign currencies

It is necessary to say that it is difficult to make an accurate forecast of the rate of inflation for the formula of growth. In addition, this process is laborious, and the result is rich in what lies in the presence of subjective factors. This can be used as another effective tool for financial management.

Vіn poligaє y pererakhunku koshіv, yakі will be taken away from the income from zdіysnennya financial operations, in one of the main and stable world currencies. Tse allow to include the factor of inflation again. When tsimu vikoristovuєtsya chinny at the time of zdіysnennya rozrahunkіv course.

Fisher formula

Fischer's formula for inflation was first handed down in the 1911 edition of The Purchasing Power of Pennies. Until today, it is a guideline for those fahіvtsіv in the macroeconomy, yakі perekonі in the fallow land in її rostannya in kіlkostі pennies, scho perebuvayut in obіgu. The author of the formula is the American economist and mathematician Irving Fisher. The essence of the formula is the assignment to credit costs, vіdsotkіv and crisis phenomena. Looking out like this: MV = PQ,

de M - obsyag penny propositions that are in circulation, V - speed of production, P - price, Q - quantity of products sold and services. Fisher's inflation formula is one of the most important and victorious tools for macroeconomic benefits. Speaking in simple language, the given equal show is directly proportional to the payment of equal prices for comrades and services and the obligation of them from one side, that amount of penny propositions from the other side. At that very hour, the mass of koshtіv is wrapped in proportion to the swedishness of the meat of the main mass of cooking.

Groshov's proposition in Russia

At the moment, the turnover of pennies in the Russian economy shows a trend towards improvement. At that very hour, sharp haircuts of this show, ring out, give rapt changes to the ruble exchange rate according to the main world currencies. Upovіlnennya obіgu penny masi maє two main reasons. The first step is at a lower rate of growth of the gross domestic product. Another reason is the increase in the rate of inflation. In the future, such a camp can be rightly brought to a situation, if a penny mass is simply boundless.

Here it is necessary to turn to Fischer's formula and add one more detail. The speed of turnover of a penny proposition is the last parameter of equalization. At the moment, there is no installed method of guarding for cym showing. Tim is no less, the very formula of inflation, the simplicity of simplicity and lightness in the mind, has taken root in modern macroeconomic theory.

One of the main problems of the penny-credit policy of the Russian Federation is the easy setting to a high refinancing rate. This, in my own hands, is the reason for the fall of industrial production and the stagnation of the strong economy. Conducting the economy of the country will understand the perils of such an approach.

But today it is regrettable to state that the sovereign officials of the Central Bank and the Ministry of Finance, as they support monetary policy, follow the lead in the interests of monopolies. These groups will be able to save the current year's changes in the dynamics of price changes and the current structure.

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